To Avert the Next Ferguson, Reschedule Elections to Make Local Politics More Representative
Most calls for reform in the wake of the Ferguson crisis focused on improving the criminal justice system to avoid toxic interactions between police and local residents. In reality, though, the underlying problem in Ferguson was much broader than police behavior. The fact that African Americans had almost no representation in city government shaped almost everything that happened in that Missouri suburb. The figures are stark. In 2015, Blacks comprised two-thirds of Ferguson’s population, yet the mayor was white, as were five out of six city council members, six of seven school board members, and 50 of 53 police officers.
Ferguson is not alone. Across the nation, racial and ethnic minorities are grossly underrepresented in urban and suburban governments. African Americans make up roughly 12 percent of the population but only 4.3 percent of city councils and 2 percent of all mayors. Disparities for Latinos and Asian Americans are even worse.
Fortunately, as my research shows, there are effective solutions to minority under-representation in city governments. One of the easiest and most effective measures is a change in the timing of local elections – to ensure that officials in cities and suburbs are elected at the same time as presidents, governors, and legislators, at times when voter interest and turnout is at a peak.
Election Timing Matters
Simply changing the timing of local elections substantially alters who votes, who wins office, and the types of policies that local governments pursue. My research demonstrates the many advantages that flow from moving from “stand-alone” local elections held at different times than general elections – the system currently in place in Ferguson – to on-cycle elections scheduled on the same date as statewide and national contests. This switch has the potential to dramatically increase the number of voters and the representativeness of the local voting population. Because voter turnout is routinely higher for statewide primaries and general elections, scheduling local contests at the same time makes it almost costless for citizens to vote for local representatives. They need only check off additional names further down the ballot.
The data on improved representation from synchronized elections are unequivocal.
- Across the nation, turnout in comparable cities with on-cycle elections is almost double the turnout in cities with off-cycle elections.
- Minority representation in office gets a boost when elections are aligned, because higher turnout cities elect city officials who are much more socially representative. My analysis shows that increasing turnout could reduce up to one-third of the underrepresentation of minorities on city councils and in mayoral offices.
With one small step, in short, suburbs and cities could switch from local elections dominated by tiny and unrepresentative slices of voters to local elections with broad and significantly more representative participation. Given that the vast majority of cities currently hold off-cycle elections, the potential to expand citizen participation in these vital arenas of American governance is enormous.
Local Government Works Better When It is Representative
Cities with higher turnout and greater minority representation tend to enact policies that are more in line with the needs and preferences of all citizens, including lower-income people and those from racial and ethnic minorities. In particular, higher turnout is associated with greater social welfare spending and increased hiring of minorities into city government posts – including police jobs.
Coming back full circle to Ferguson, my research with Jessica Trounstine of the University of California at Merced shows that these kinds of changes can reduce black frustration with the operations of local governments. Our analysis of local surveys and U.S. Census data shows that African Americans are generally less happy than whites with the performance of their city governments. But those same surveys show that when local governments spend more on social welfare and hire more African Americans, black dissatisfaction declines and blacks become as happy as whites with local government.
Getting It Done
Incumbent local officials often resist changing the timing of elections – after all, they won office in the current system. But the advantages are so clear that it ought to be possible to build coalitions for this change. In addition to improving participation and minority representation, synchronized local elections create strong cost-savings for local governments and taxpayers. Indeed, the primary motivation for this move has usually been cost savings. In most states, municipalities pay the entire administrative costs of stand-alone elections but have to cover only a fraction of the costs of on-cycle elections. The city of Concord, California, for example, estimated that the cost of running a stand-alone election would be $58,000, more than twice as much as the $25,000 estimate for holding the local election on-cycle.
Moreover, cities change their electoral timing regularly. A survey in California found that more than two-fifths of cities had changed the timing of municipal elections in recent years. A municipal ordinance is all that is required in most places. States can also require this sort of change – Arizona, for example, has passed legislation mandating that many of its cities hold local elections that coincide with statewide contests. And if governments do not act, citizens can get involved. Citizen’s groups can raise the issue; and in states with direct democracy, initiative campaigns can put local election timing on the statewide or local ballot.
Making sure that local elections happen at the same time as statewide and national contests is, in short, a straightforward, cost-saving reform that could go a long ways toward making local governments more representative and responsive. Doing that would help to prevent future Ferguson-like crises from erupting all over the country.