Jonathan Nagler
Professor of Politics, New York University
Chapter Member: New York City SSN
Areas of Expertise:
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About Jonathan
Nagler’s research focuses on voting behavior and turnout, the impact of the economy and economic inequality on elections, methodology, social media, the Top 2 Primary in California, and Latino voting. His current work explores the impact of economics on elections, as well as the impact of social media on political participation. Nagler is also a co-PI of the NYU Social Media and Political Participation (SMAPP) Lab.
Contributions
Unequal Voter Turnout in U.S. Presidential Elections
Key Findings Brief,
In the News
Opinion: "Who was Most Likely to Share Fake News in 2016? Seniors.," Jonathan Nagler (with ), Washington Post, January 9, 2019.
Quoted by Benjamin Wallace-Wells in "Sanders, Trump, and the Rise of the Non-Voters," The New Yorker, April 1, 2016.
Quoted by Sean McElwee in "The Economy is a Democrat: Why Recent History Shows the Value of a Progressive President," Salon, March 28, 2015.
Quoted by Mark Z. Barabak in "Conniving by Crossover Voters is More Myth than Threat," Los Angeles Times, February 21, 2015.
Research discussed by , in "California’s Top-Two Primary Hasn’t Lived up to Reformers’ Hopes," The Washington Post, February 11, 2015.
Research discussed by , in "No, You Can’t Predict U.S. Congressional Election Outcomes with Tweet Shares: But That Doesn’t Mean You Shouldn’t Try," The Washington Post, August 16, 2013.
Publications
"Who Votes Now? Demographics, Issues, Inequality, and Turnout in the United States" (with ) (Princeton University Press, 2013).
Compares the demographic characteristics and political views of voters and nonvoters in American presidential elections since 1972 and examines how electoral reforms and the choices offered by candidates influence voter turnout.
"Who Votes Now? Demographics, Issues, Inequality, and Turnout in the United States" (with ) (Princeton University Press, 2013).
Compares the demographic characteristics and political views of voters and nonvoters in American presidential elections since 1972 and examines how electoral reforms and the choices offered by candidates influence voter turnout. Argues that persistent class bias in turnout has enduring political consequences, and that it really does matter who votes and who doesn't.
"Economics, Elections, and Voting Behavior" (with ), in Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior, edited by Jan Leighley (Oxford University Press, 2010).
Summarizes research on the impact of the state of the economy on elections, and considers how voters evaluate the economy in determining their vote.
"The Hispanic Vote in the 2004 Presidential Election: Insecurity and Moral Concerns" (with ). The Journal of Politics 70, no. 2 (2008): 368-382.
Examines Hispanic voting behavior in the 2004 Presidential election. Argues that, similar to Anglos, issues and ideology were highly influential in the vote choice of Hispanics in the 2004 election, as placed more emphasis on moral values and national security than on domestic issues such as the economy and education.
"Unions and Class Bias in the U.S. Electorate, 1964-2004" (with ). The Journal of Politics 69, no. 2 (2007): 430-441.
Examines the impact of unions on voter turnout. Assesses the consequences of dramatic changes in union strength and composition of union membership since 1964 for the composition of the U.S. electorate.
"Race-Based versus Issue Voting: A Natural Experiment: The 2001 City of Los Angeles Elections" (with ). Politics Research Quarterly 58, no. 2 (2005): 203-218.
Questions the theory of racially polarized voting which suggests that race is a primary determinant of vote choice in elections where a minority candidate is pitted against a white candidate. Argues that while voter ethnicity mattered, voters also relied on issues and ideology as factors in their voting choices.