Clayton-Matthews

Alan Clayton-Matthews

Affiliations
Associate Professor of Economics and Public Policy; Director, PhD Program in Law and Public Policy; and Senior Research Associate, Dukakis Center, Northeastern University
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Growth & Innovation
  • Jobs & Workers
  • Public Budgets & Taxes

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About Alan

Alan Clayton-Matthews is a professor and director of quantitative methods in the School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs at Northeastern University. He currently serves as co-editor of the Massachusetts Benchmarks, a joint publication of the University of Massachusetts and the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston that presents timely information and analysis on Massachusetts' economy, as well as the Director of the New England Economic Project, a group of economists and managers from academia, business, and government who study and forecast the economy of New England. At the Dukakis Center, Clayton-Matthews spent his sabbatical leave working as chief designer of the Labor Market Assessment Tool (LMAT), and contributed as consultant on numerous projects. His expertise lies in labor market assessment, state and local finance, urban economic development, urban fiscal policy, and economic policy evaluation. 

 

Podcast

Publications

"Description of the Albelda Clayton-Matthews/IWPR 2016 Paid Family and Medical Leave Simulator Model" (with Randy Albelda). Economics Faculty Publication Series 41 (2016).

Estimates the cost of a paid leave program was to, as much as possible, base estimates of program costs on actual known leave-taking behavior, and where this was not possible, to estimate a range of program costs reflecting a range of reasonable assumptions about unknown aspects of behavior in the presence of a paid leave program.

"Massachusetts Economy Weathers the Storm in Q1 2015: State Growth Slows Significantly but Economic Expansion Continues despite Record Snowfall," MassBenchmarks, April 29, 2015.

Estimates that in the fourth quarter of 2014, the state economy expanded at a 2.9 percent annualized rate while the nation grew at a more modest 2.2 percent rate. Explains that the record snowfall and weak global economic conditions dampened growth in the first quarter, but that the state economy has proven to be resilient in spite of these dual headwinds.

" State Economy Expands Robustly in Q2: Strong Job and Spending Growth Cause for Optimism, International Threats Remain," MassBenchmarks, July 30, 2015.

Reports that the Massachusetts payroll employment expanded at a 3.1 percent annual rate in the second quarter, nearly twice as fast as in the first quarter when employment grew at a 1.7 percent annualized rate. Argues that even though the state economy appears to be in the midst of a solid economic expansion that positions the Commonwealth for solid future growth, risks to the outlook remain. 

"State Economic Growth Moderates in Q3: Fundamentals Remain Strong Following Torrid Pace of Growth in Q2," MassBenchmarks, March 2015.

Reports that the Massachusetts real gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the first quarter of 2016. Argues that the strong performance continues to mask troubling imbalances in the labor market.

"The Economic Impact of MSBA Investments on the Massachusetts Economy," (with Barry Bluestone), Kitty and Michael Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy, June 2014.

Expands on the direct and indirect economic benefits that flow to the state and its workers as a result of large construction investments. Provides an assessment of the impact of MSBA spending on state gross domestic output, employment, income, and state tax revenue. Demonstrates that even relying on a conservative set of assumptions, the economic impact on the state is substantial. 

 

"Meeting the Commonwealth's Workforce Needs: Occupational Projections and Vocational Education," (with Barry Bluestone and Nancy Lee), Kitty and Michael Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy, October 2015.

Includes data on projected net new jobs, replacement jobs, and total job openings through 2022 for the Commonwealth. Assesses how much of the expected growth in job openings by specific occupation can currently be filled by the state’s regional vocational high schools and vocational programs in the Commonwealth’s comprehensive high schools.

In the News

Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on labor force growth in Jim Kinney, "Massachusetts GDP Outpaced by National Growth; Shrinking Workforce Blamed" Mass Live, May 3, 2018.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on state economic activity measurements in Mike (Mish) Shedlock, "Coincident Economic Indicators: History Suggests Recession is Close" Investing.com, March 27, 2018.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted in Shira Schoenberg, "Lawmakers Ask: What does Federal Tax Reform Mean for Massachusetts?" MassLive, January 23, 2018.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted in Katie Lannan, "Experts: Proceed with Caution as Trillions Shift under New Tax" The Lowell Sun, January 24, 2018.
"Millionaire Tax Will Put Massachusetts Back on Track," Alan Clayton-Matthews (with Mohamad Ali), Boston Globe, June 6, 2017.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on labor force and population growth in Fred Thys, "Continued Growth of Mass. Economy Depends on Immigration, Experts Say" WBUR, January 17, 2017.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on the pace of employment and earnings growth, "Mass. Economic Growth Was 3.7% in Q3" Lowell Sun, October 28, 2016.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on paid family and medical leave in Colin A. Young, "Family, Medical Leave Backers Say Mass. Out of Step" MassLive, October 27, 2015.
Alan Clayton-Matthews's research on Massachusetts economy growth discussed in Deirdre Fernandes. Alan Clayton-Matthews, "Economy Grew Faster in Mass. than in US for First Quarter," Boston Globe , April 28, 2016.
Guest to discuss the impact of debt ceiling negotiations on WRKO, Alan Clayton-Matthews, August 2, 2011.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on wages in the Boston area in Jordan Graham , "Boston Setting Pace for Pay: Wage Growth in First Quarter Best in US" Boston Herald, May 6, 2015.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on job creation in Jay Fitzgerald, "Report Cites Benefits from Mass. Green Campaign: Sees Some Benefits, No Drag on State’s Economy from ’08 Law" Boston Globe , March 4, 2014.
"Bluestone, Clayton-Matthews Answer Life Science Criticism," Alan Clayton-Matthews (with Barry Bluestone), CommonWealth Magazine , April 1, 2013.
Alan Clayton-Matthews quoted on the state economy growth in Megan Woolhouse, "Massachusetts Economy Slows, but Still Tops US Rate: Global Financial Turmoil Cited as Affecting Growth" Boston Globe , October 29, 2015.