Hal Brands
Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs, Johns Hopkins University
Chapter Member: Maryland-Washington, D.C. SSN
Areas of Expertise:
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About Hal
Brands studies U.S. foreign policy and grand strategy, focusing on the period between World War II and the present. His research deals with a variety of subjects: U.S.-Latin American relations during the Cold War and after, U.S. nuclear and arms control policies, U.S.-Middle East relations, and American grand strategy since the Cold War and 9/11. He also writes about contemporary security issues like organized crime and drug trafficking in Latin America. More broadly, his work focuses on determining what components go into a successful grand strategy, and how American leaders can better utilize all aspects of national power to achieve important goals abroad. He has explored these issues in work for the Army War College, the U.S. military, the RAND Corporation, the Institute for Defense Analyses, and other organizations.
Contributions
Grand Strategy and American Foreign Policy
Key Findings Brief,
In the News
Hal Brands quoted on what will be the consequences of the pandemic, and what will a post-COVID world order look like?, "COVID-19 and World Order: The Future of Conflict, Competition, and Cooperation" Business Insider, September 10, 2020.
"America Is Safer When Trump Alone Can't Start a War," Hal Brands, Bloomberg News, January 23, 2020.
"Trump’s Tapped Smartphone Mirrors His Entire Foreign Policy," Hal Brands, Bloomberg, October 28, 2018.
"Bloomberg Opinion Radio: Weekend Edition for Week of 7-13-18," Hal Brands, Interview with June Grasso, Bloomberg, July 16, 2018.
Hal Brands's research on NATO discussed by , "Mattis Meets NATO Counterparts," The Washington Times, June 5, 2018.
Guest to discuss a Korean peace deal on Bloomberg Markets AM with Pimm Fox and Lisa Abramowicz, Hal Brands, April 27, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted on American power abroad by Takuya Matsuda, "How America Could Lose Its Most Powerful National Security Tool" The National Interest, April 26, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted on the Russian-Chinese relationship, "Russia and China Boost Cooperation" The Maritime Executive, April 24, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted on US-Russia relations by Shane Croucher, "A New Cold War with Russia? Historians Give Their Answer" Newsweek, April 20, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted on strategic policy making by Frank Hoffman, "Vulpine Virtues and Strategic Success" War on the Rocks, April 19, 2018.
on The Brookings Cafeteria, Hal Brands, April 17, 2018.
"Only the U.S. Can Sustain the Peace in Taiwan," Hal Brands, American Journal of Transportation, March 29, 2018.
"Xi Jinping May Scare Asia Back into Washington's Orbit," Hal Brands, The Economic Times, March 5, 2018.
on Bloomberg View Weekend Edition hosted by June Grasso, Hal Brands, February 27, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by Guy Taylor and Carlo Muñoz , "'Mission Creep' Fears Rise after US Airstrike in Syria" Washington Times, February 8, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by Simon Reich and Peter Dombrowski, "Has a Trumpian Grand Strategy Finally Stepped into the Light?" War on the Rocks, January 29, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by Carlo Muñoz, "Pentagon Strategy Calls for Proxies to Fight War on Terror" The Washington Times, January 23, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by John Glaser, "Trump Commits to Another Open-Ended War in Syria" Cato Institute, January 18, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by Andrew Madigan, "After the Fire and Fury: What's Next for Books about Trump?" The Guardian, January 17, 2018.
"Trump Doesn’t Believe in his Own Foreign Policy. Does that Matter?," Hal Brands, Foreign Policy, January 16, 2018.
Hal Brands quoted by Corey Cooper and Will Moreland, "The Long Game on Saving the International Order" Huffington Post, January 4, 2018.
"The Sane Way to Live with North Korea's Nukes," Hal Brands (with ), Bloomberg View, August 15, 2017.
Hal Brands quoted on a regional approach to Afghanistan's security by Tara Copp, "Military Officials to Brief Trump on Deployed Forces, Afghanistan and ISIS" Military Times, July 20, 2017.
Hal Brands quoted on cutting a deal with Russia in Syria by James Carden, "Trump and His Generals are Playing a Dangerous Game in Syria" The Nation, June 21, 2017.
Hal Brands quoted on the presidency changing Trump by Peter Baker, "How Trump Has Reshaped the Presidency, and How It’s Changed Him, Too" New York Times, April 29, 2017.
"What Should Trump Do after the Islamic State is Defeated?," Hal Brands, Foreign Policy, March 17, 2017.
"American Grand Strategy: Lessons from the Cold War," Hal Brands, International Relations and Security Network, September 21, 2015.
"Retrenchment Chic: The Dangers of Offshore Balancing," Hal Brands, Foreign Policy Research Institute E-Notes, August 1, 2015.
"Why Did Saddam Want the Bomb? The Israel Factor and the Iraqi Nuclear Program," Hal Brands, Foreign Policy Research Institute E-Notes, August 1, 2010.
"Los Zetas and the Transnational Drug War in Mexico," Hal Brands, World Politics Review, September 15, 2009.
"The Rise of the Center in Latin America," Hal Brands, World Politics Review, July 13, 2009.
"Third-Generation Gangs and Criminal Insurgency in Latin America," Hal Brands, Small Wars Journal, July 1, 2009.
"Gangs and the New Insurgency in Latin America," Hal Brands, World Politics Review, June 10, 2009.
"Mexico’s Narco-Insurgency," Hal Brands, World Politics Review, December 22, 2008.
"Lo que no funcionará de nuevo," Hal Brands, El Universal, August 31, 2008.
"U.S.-Latin American Relations: Future Challenges," Hal Brands, American Diplomacy, August 19, 2008.
"U.S. Plan to Fight Drugs in Mexico Bound to Falter Without Changes," Hal Brands, San Jose Mercury News Online, July 27, 2008.
"The War on Terror Has Fizzled," Hal Brands, Hartford Courant, September 2, 2007.
Publications
"Thinking about Grand Strategy" (Army War College Monograph Series, forthcoming).
Explains what grand strategy is, why it is so important, and why it is so difficult. Uses examples from the Truman and Kissinger years to flesh out how policymakers might go about constructing a successful grand strategy.
"Conspiring Bastards: Saddam Hussein’s Strategic View of the United States" Diplomatic History 36, no. 3 (forthcoming).
Looks at the evolution of Saddam’s perceptions of U.S. policy in the Middle East during the 1970s and 1980s, and debunks the “green-light” theory of why Saddam invaded Kuwait in 1990.
"Saddam, Israel, and the Bomb: Nuclear Alarmism Justified?" International Security 36, no. 1 (2011): 133-166.
Explores the ways that Saddam’s rivalry with Israel influenced his desire for nuclear weapons, and examines the role of chemical weapons on Iraqi policy during the 1990-91 Gulf War.
"Latin America’s Cold War" (Harvard University Press, 2010).
Examines U.S., Cuban, and Soviet policies toward Latin America during the Cold War; looks at the ways that foreign intervention shaped Latin American politics, society, and economy from World War II onward.
"Mexico’s Narco-Insurgency and U.S. Counter-Narcotics Policy," Army War College Monograph Series, April 30, 2009.
Explains the rise of narcotics-related violence in Mexico, analyzes the tactics of the major drug-trafficking organizations, and offers policy guidance for the U.S. and Mexican governments.
"From Berlin to Baghdad: America’s Search for Purpose in the Post-Cold War World" (University Press of Kentucky, 2008).
Analyzes the foreign policies of the Bush, Clinton, and Bush administrations and discusses the difficulties of crafting grand strategy in the post-Cold War environment.