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Natasha Pilkauskas

Associate Professor of Public Policy, University of Michigan-Ann Arbor
Chapter Member: Michigan SSN
Areas of Expertise:

About Natasha

Pilkauskas’ research considers how demographic, social safety net, and economic shifts in the U.S. affect low-income families with children. Specifically, Pilkauskas’ work examines children’s shared living arrangements, economic insecurity among vulnerable populations, and the effects of cash transfers, such as tax credits, on low-income families. Much of Pilkauskas’ research focuses on early childhood, a time when poverty and instability are known to have long-lasting detrimental effects on children’s health and development, and when social policies have been shown to have some of the strongest impacts on improving children’s life chances.

In the News

Research discussed by Jill Terreri Ramos, in "The Federal Child Tax Credit Allowed Some Parents to Go It Alone," The New York Times, August 15, 2024.
Opinion: "Congress is Close to Expanding the Child Tax Credit Again–With a Smaller Boost for Families This Time," Natasha Pilkauskas (with Katherine Michelmore), The Conversation, January 22, 2024.
Research discussed by Sara Zaske, in "Early in Pandemic, Half a Million Kids Moved in with Grandparents," Futurity, August 30, 2023.
Research discussed by Jesus Torres, in "The Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Low-Income Families in the United States," Washington Center for Equitable Growth, August 2, 2023.
Interviewed in "A Houston Woman Describes the Cultural Tradition behind Her Multi-Generational Home," NPR’s Morning Edition, November 24, 2022.
Research discussed by Dylan Matthews, in "When Cash Giving Doesn’t Work," Future Perfect, Vox, July 9, 2022.

Publications

"The Expanded Child Tax Credit and Economic Wellbeing of Low-Income Families" (with Katherine Michelmore, Nicole Kovski, and H. Luke Shaefer). Journal of Population Economics 37, no. 68 (2024).

Studies the impact of the 2021 expansion of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) on low-income families. Finds that the 2021 monthly CTC reduced the number of hardships families experienced, especially food insecurity, weak evidence that the credit reduced medical hardships and reliance on friends and family for food, and that it had no impact on labor supply.

"The 2021 Child Tax Credit, the Living Arrangements and Housing Affordability of Families with Low Incomes" (with Katherine Michelmore and Nicole Kovski). Demography 61, no. 4 (2024): 1069–1096.

Examines the impact of the 2021 temporary expansion to the Child Tax Credit on housing affordability and the living arrangements of families with low incomes. Finds that the monthly CTC reduced parents’ past-due rent/mortgages (both amounts and incidence) and their reports of potential moves due to difficulties affording rent/mortgages. The CTC increased the likelihood that parents reported a change in their living arrangements and reduced their household size.

"The COVID Cash Transfer Study: The Impacts of a One-Time Unconditional Cash Transfer on the Well-Being of Families Receiving SNAP in Twelve States" (with Brian A. Jacob, Elizabeth Rhodes, Katherine Richard, and H. Luke Shaefer). Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 42, no. 3 (2023): 771-795.

Reports on the results of a randomized controlled study of a one-time $1,000 unconditional cash transfer in May 2020 to families with low incomes in 12 U.S. states. Finds no statistically significant effects on material hardship, mental health, parenting, child behavior, partner relationships (powered to detect effects of 0.09 standard deviations); finds significant reductions in material hardship among families with less than $500 of earnings in the previous month.

"Tots and Teens: How Does Child’s Age Influence Maternal Labor Supply and Child Care Response to the Earned Income Tax Credit?" (with Katherine Michelmore). Journal of Labor Economics 39, no. 4 (2021): 895-929.

Builds on earlier work that shows that the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) has a substantial positive effect on maternal labor supply to show that labor supply effects are concentrated among mothers with children under age three, with only moderate effects of the EITC on the labor supply of mothers with teenagers. These increases in labor supply are coupled with large increases in the use and cost of child care among mothers with children under age three.

"Historical Trends in Children Living in Multigenerational Households in the United States: 1870-2018" (with Mariana Amorim and Rachel E. Dunifon). Demography 57, no. 6 (2020): 2269-2296.

Uses data from the decennial census from 1870 to 2010 and the 2018 American Community Survey to examine historical trends in children’s multigenerational living arrangements. Finds that in 2018, 10% of U.S. children lived in a multigenerational household, a return to levels last observed in 1950. The current increase in multigenerational households began in 1980, when only 5% of children lived in such households.

"The Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on Housing and Living Arrangements" (with Katherine Michelmore). Demography 56, no. 4 (2019): 1303-1326.

Analyzes whether the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) affects the housing (eviction, homelessness, and affordability) and living arrangements (doubling up, number of people in the household, and crowding) of low-income families. Suggests that increases in the EITC improve housing by reducing housing cost burdens, but it has no effect on eviction or homelessness. Increases in the EITC also reduce doubling up and in particular, doubling up in someone else’s home.

"Maternal Employment Stability in Early Childhood: Links with Child Behavior and Cognitive Skills" (with Jeanne Brooks-Gunn and Jane Waldfogel). Developmental Psychology 54, no. 3 (2018): 410-427.

Investigates whether the stability of maternal employment in early childhood (birth to age 5) is linked with child behavior and cognitive skills at ages 5 and 9. Links employment stability (continuous employment over all 5 years, low levels of job churning, longer job tenure) with less child externalizing behavior.

"Assets among Low-Income Families in the Great Recession" (with Valentina Duque and Irwin Garfinkel). PLOS ONE 13, no. 2 (2018).

Examines the association between the Great Recession and real assets among families with young children. Investigates the association between the city unemployment rate and home and car ownership and how the relationship varies by family structure (married, cohabiting, and single parents) and by race/ethnicity (White, Black, and Hispanic mothers). Finds that the recession was associated with lower levels of home ownership for cohabiting families and for Hispanic families, as well as lower car ownership among single mothers and among Black mothers, whereas no change was observed among married families or White households.