SSN Commentary

Do We Really Have Only 12 Years to Avoid Climate Disaster?

Policy field

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New York University

Originally published as: Gernot Wagner and Constantine Samaras, "Do We Really Have Only 12 Years to Avoid Climate Disaster?" New York Times, September 19, 2019.

Twelve years is at once an eternity and right around the corner. Just ask any parent watching their kids grow up. So it hits home when a growing chorus of often young voices — from proponents of the Green New Deal to the global Youth Climate Strike — says forcefully that the world has 12 years left to avoid disastrous climate change. This is just the latest dire warning about time running out issued over the past 20 years. But this deadline is different — it’s both entirely wrong, and oh so right.